Dash I/O at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Dash I/O
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 6: Win vs Kamerin Points (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grail Chappell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Tucker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Roger Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Cussimanio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chase Feaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 0-7-0
29%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ender Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hakan Gunes (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lauren Stobbe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Abel Marquez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CODY READY (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriel ebady (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Schiller (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ray Kruse (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aziel Aguilar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Volden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Dong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Dryer (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Bitting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chase Feaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.