Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Noelker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25
Prism, Awakener of Sol
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 75:25
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
Dash I/O
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 27:73
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
dropped 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Dorinthea Ironsong
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Arakni, Marionette
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roger Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Winry Owen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 21:79

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.