Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
25%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Win vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
Round 12: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tamren Cardwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-1
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colton Branch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
Round 9: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brendan Keithline (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Garrett Rayburn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DJ Breithaupt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kolby Daily (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Keith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Bracken (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kolb (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Alex Pagnani (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Wade Jones (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Keith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.