Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 10: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 10: Win vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Round 12: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tamren Cardwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-1
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Colton Branch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Keenan Humphrey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brendan Keithline (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Cook (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Carrick (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Dayton Blair (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Garrett Rayburn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Draw |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Davis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs DJ Breithaupt (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
71%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kolby Daily (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Keith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Bracken (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 20:80
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kolb (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abegail Tittle (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 20:80
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Alex Pagnani (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Sims (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Wade Jones (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Keith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.