Kano, Dracai of Aether
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
10:90
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Warner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tamren Cardwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Odin Stobbe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Heffley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.