Kano, Dracai of Aether at Calling: Kansas City 2025

Kano, Dracai of Aether

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Elliot Bicker

dropped • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kirby Hill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

85:15

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Damien Riggins (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.12
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.34
R5	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.36
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.12
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.60
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R11	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Evan Dasher

dropped • 7-5-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 84:16

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.04
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.36
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.60
R11	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Micaiah Wooten

dropped • 7-5-0

42%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Warner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.60
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R9	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Gage Gilliam

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

James Miller

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Randall Robinson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.29
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.72

Ryan Youngquist

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathan Beni

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tamren Cardwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Odin Stobbe (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.45
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.65
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jared Warden

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Heffley (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Tanner Montgomery

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.