Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
22 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
86%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
5th • 11-2-0
77%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Cooper (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Gui Cohen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steve Halloran (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grail Chappell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Beni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 11: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul White (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wyatt Goehring (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Andersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Lee (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robert Sexton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Parker Lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ajit Perla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 7: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Reiser (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Price (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Berg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Wright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Darin Key (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Dustin De Loach (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Watson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Winry Owen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Shull (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Record (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Barta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.