Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
24 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Ugaban (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashlyn Carrick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tee Thebeau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
dropped • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Payton Miles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ender Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
Round 10: Win vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chance Hensley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Owen Bitting (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Redington (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Andersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Dawson Belk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Kilgore (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs nicklas starland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Brock (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryan Kelly (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gage Gilliam (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ash Buck (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Bader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony Hook (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tony Keith (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Harper (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Loberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ashlyn Carrick (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Hyneman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Geldrich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Volden (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Skylar Kilgore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kamerin Points (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lauren Stobbe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aziel Aguilar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Max McLean (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Tucker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kolby Daily (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben DeLange (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Cook (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chance Hensley (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Marshall (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Serpa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Wynn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Rolf (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Wilson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sophia Claire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Swazey Sexton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Lawton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Logan Reinert (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Taylor (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Payton Miles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Beni (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.