Valda, Seismic Impact
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Rayburn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
Round 4: Win vs Adam Roark (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.