Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Valda, Seismic Impact
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Hillard (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Martin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Rayburn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Liwag (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler McMurray (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Gutierrez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rogelio Marroquin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Roark (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Sweeney (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 10:90
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.