Fang, Dracai of Blades at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Davis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Feaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alain Arduain (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Harrell (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
dropped • 6-6-0
33%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Round 9: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Hyneman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ray Kruse (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dawson Belk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jordan johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Kolb (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Bracken (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Gilbert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Gill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.