Fang, Dracai of Blades
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Davis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Perry (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tho Bui (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Feaster (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mike Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alain Arduain (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Emery Powell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
dropped • 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Harrell (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Dan Eckstein (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 6-6-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Francis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 9: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
55%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Hyneman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Wemhoff (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ray Kruse (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dawson Belk (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Wolford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Payne Ummerteskee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jordan johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Asa Burke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Ford (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Walker (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Brayer (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Kolb (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul Martinez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Bracken (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charles Gilbert (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Gill (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chuck Ford (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maeve Kuwamura-Corvacchioli (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mychael Caywood (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 6: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arivae Chol (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.