Calling: Kansas City 2025 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ajit Perla

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.35
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Marc Hansen

dropped • 1-4-2

43%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Draw	✗	0.29	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.40
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Bryce Stroyek

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.90
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.73
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Spencer Orman

dropped • 2-2-2

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Wesley Dong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Hines (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Draw	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.06
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.06
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Joe Sturwold

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.69
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Bryan Andersen

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Shull (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Donovan Mitchell

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ismael Duque

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Joshua Kolb

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Larry Durham

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamerin Points (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.