Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Kansas City 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ajit Perla

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ovidio Trejo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Moss (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.69
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

Marc Hansen

dropped • 1-4-2

29%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Ford (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Draw	✗	0.21	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Bryce Stroyek

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs John-David Cottrell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Fogle (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.12
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.78
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.78
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Spencer Orman

dropped • 2-2-2

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Wesley Dong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Marc Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Hines (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Willhite (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.32
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joe Sturwold

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Willhite (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Sherwood (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.97
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bryan Andersen

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Raitzer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Grant Emery (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Shull (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Donovan Mitchell

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alexis Gunthner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ismael Duque

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs chris schipiour (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Joshua Kolb

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Larry Durham

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Park (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Riley Lont (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kamerin Points (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.