Katsu, the Wanderer
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared Warden (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Riley Akers (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs AJ Stouse (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Beihn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Sturwold (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Gilmartin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77
Round 6: Win vs Leia Asp (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs douglas ward (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bodo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ray lahann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mason Herschberg (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Dandikar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Blake Freeman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sophia Claire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.