Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Kansas City 2025
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ender Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Gabriel Poynter (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs James Pack (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 27:73
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Winry Owen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Win vs Ivy Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Sophia Claire (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marshel Halliday (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Spencer Orman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Wynn (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 27:73
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.