Briar at Showdown: London 2026
Briar
64 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Kruft (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Maxime Forest (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Tom Ward (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs David Moore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Paul Hyman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 SAGE
Round 10: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
14th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Chris Karrandjas (Riptide) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
21st • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Machi C (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Zach Evans (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 8: Loss vs James Clark (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
27th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Baker (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs cory macewan (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Patrik Koller (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
30th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Denning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs None ()
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jan-Philipp Dreikorn (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 84:16
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | 50% | Win | |
| R4 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano | 45% | Win |
36th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Jud (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
40th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Shelby Ward (Dash) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Danny Feliz (Olympia) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Phil Mead (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Olympia | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
41st • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Ryan McVean (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Florian Koksch (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
46th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Michael Lackner (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
47th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Etienne BARIOULET (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
51st • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Folch (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs THOMAS CORTICELLI (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Christian Jelle (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
54th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Rhys Iddon (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
Round 7: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs James Earle (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
62nd • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Gary Kelly (Riptide) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
64th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ivan Grimaldo (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs André Kofmel (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 84:16
35:65
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs George Jones (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
66th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Josh Keys (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Dan Tripp (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
72nd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Turner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Kelly (Riptide) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Danny Feliz (Olympia) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Olympia | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
75th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Joonas Ervald (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Florian) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Carreira (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Pierre Grevet (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Florian | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
77th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Grimaldo (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Lukaschek (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Aria Loog (Azalea) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Nuu) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
84th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Quentin Neves (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Tom Lorente (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 71:29
Round 8: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Scurv, Stowaway | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
85th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Adam Cowan (Florian) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Paul Goodchild (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
20:80
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs George Turner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs James Muir (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
88th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Gabe Sher (Fang) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Malyk Höfle (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Tibor Madaras (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 85:15
65:35
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Jean-Philip Lohse (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Fai | 65% | Win |
89th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-André Joly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs alessandro scarnato (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Potter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs George Turner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Win |
90th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Patrik Weber (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Josh Keys (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs James Earle (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs André Kofmel (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
93rd • 4-4-1
78%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs alessandro scarnato (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Carreira (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Draw vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Enigma | 55% | Draw |
| R9 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
97th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Bouteyron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 85:15
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
101st • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs None ()
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Chevrinais (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Heilling (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
105th • 4-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Christian Sal (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs James Earle (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
85:15
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Wassim Bouzazi (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 84:16
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Levia | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
108th • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Christian Sal (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Potter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Tobias Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre Canali (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Phil Mead (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Cheyney (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Shai Edginton (Azalea) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Sharpes (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Matthias Fund (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Jean-Philip Lohse (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
85:15
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Dave Margetson (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Fang | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Pleiades) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs David Moore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Henri Laigo (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Sobral (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Louis Ades (Pleiades) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Simon Denning (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Jud (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs René Schep (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Matheo Franchot (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Chad Heuschober (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jaka Burnik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Simon MacDonald (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Marnie Lamb (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Pierre Grevet (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Joel Rencen (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 84:16
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jason Kelly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Giulio Monaco (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs George-Daniel Tudose (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan McVean (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ella Brown (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Finn Baird (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs James Clark (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Walter Heidelberger (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Sobral (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
Round 2: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Tanel Tammiste (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Campagnoli (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs KONSTANTINOS STERGIOU (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Brown (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Wilhelm Baars (Viserai) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Ritter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Shai Edginton (Azalea) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Mehmet Huseyin (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Dash) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Kieran Waters (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Shubert (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Adam Cartwright (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Fai) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Adam Haill (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Erik Skinstad (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Pietro Gerletti (Riptide) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs David Gómez (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Curnow (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Tibor Madaras (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Heilling (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Tanel Tammiste (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Wolfgang Mahl (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs THOMAS CORTICELLI (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Aron Trausti (Viserai) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Potter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jas Tin Lim (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Kin Bong Ernie Wong (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Peter Stürmer (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs James Clark (Rhinar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Zach Evans (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Clayton Gowen (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 83:17
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Riccardo Bonfiglioli (Oldhim) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Cato DIrdal (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai, Cintari Sellsword | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Fai) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Vynnset) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Will Melyn (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Carreira (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay McBay (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs James Muir (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Benji, the Piercing Wind | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Eloi Meens (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Vlad Ciobotea (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hove (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Jud (Lexi) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Enigma) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Jaka Burnik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Mountford (Dorinthea) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.