Aurora
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
74th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Aria Loog (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Lukaschek (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Zach Evans (Briar) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R9
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Valda Brightaxe | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.