Lexi at Showdown: London 2026

Lexi

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeremy Miller

56th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.4

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thibaud ROMANI (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Danny Feliz (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

60:40

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.41
R6	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.81

Thomas Chevrinais

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bjarki már Ingólfsson (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Lorente (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs cory macewan (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

5:95

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Laura Nielsen

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Cody Hodkinson (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs George-Daniel Tudose (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tibor Madaras (Rhinar) - Expected: 60:40

5:95

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: 7:93

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.63
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-

Alexander Lukaschek

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

5:95

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 7:93

5:95

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 7:93

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mehmet Huseyin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs cory macewan (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R6	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joonas Ervald

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aron Trausti (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Jud

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Archer (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Shing So (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gabriel Ankeshian

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

5:95

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Oldhim) - Expected: 7:93

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cody Hodkinson (Fai) - Expected: 53:47

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mohammad Rafiq

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 29:71

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Warren (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Eloi Meens

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adam Haill (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ernst Füllemann

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Robinson (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.