Lexi at Showdown: London 2026

Lexi

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jeremy Miller

56th • 6-3-0

78%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thibaud ROMANI (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Danny Feliz (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jyry Soinio (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.34
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.44

Thomas Chevrinais

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bjarki már Ingólfsson (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Lorente (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dominic McKenzie (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ilya Polkovnichenko (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs cory macewan (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Tuffnut	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Laura Nielsen

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Darius Zacharakis (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Cody Hodkinson (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs George-Daniel Tudose (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Guillermo Regueiro (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tibor Madaras (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Alexander Lukaschek

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

15:85

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Mehmet Huseyin (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs cory macewan (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Paddy Morgan (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.72
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joonas Ervald

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

75:25

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Aron Trausti (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alan Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Jud

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marcus Archer (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Shing So (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Gabriel Ankeshian

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Dreckmann (Florian) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

15:85

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tyhrone Bennett (Oldhim) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Cody Hodkinson (Fai) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jackson (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Florian	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mohammad Rafiq

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 37:63

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mark Warren (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Gary White (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Eloi Meens

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Adam Haill (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Kayo) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Ernst Füllemann

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs George Jones (Dorinthea) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs George Douglas (Kano) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Robinson (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.