Olympia

Olympia

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

80th 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Ira, Crimson Haze
!
65:35
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Turner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Dorinthea
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Wilson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Oldhim
85:15
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16
Lexi
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Ira, Crimson Haze
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38
Ira, Crimson Haze
65:35
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Dominik Ixert (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38
Briar
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 46:54
Briar
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Owen Howdon (Briar) - Expected: 46:54
Kayo
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43
dropped 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Viserai
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Wilhelm Baars (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Iyslander
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Sommer (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kano
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oldhim
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Oldhim) - Expected: 84:16
Bravo, Flattering Showman
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs David Moore (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 67:33
Iyslander
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Ira, Crimson Haze
!
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Rhinar
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.