Bravo, Flattering Showman
34 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
70:30
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Krzysztof Nowek (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan McVean (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Melvin Valderrey (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Van donkelaar (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Simon Denning (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Briar | 55% | Win |
33rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Brown (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Sobral (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
53rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
70:30
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Aria Loog (Azalea) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Jud (Lexi) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Jack Warren (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano | 30% | Win |
71st • 5-3-1
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Draw vs YeeHo Chow (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Massimo Castelli (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi | 65% | Loss |
86th • 5-3-1
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
90:10
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Luca Cornaggia (Dash) - Expected: 90:10
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Miw Valle (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
85:15
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Draw vs Adam Parker (Dromai) - Expected: 87:13
60:40
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Win vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai | 85% | Draw |
| R9 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Win |
73rd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Denis Medjic (Florian) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Fasquel (Azalea) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Christofzik (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
116th • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Finlay McBay (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Schunn (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs James Goode-Hamy (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre Grevet (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Tobias Lee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R9 SAGE
Round 9: Loss vs George Turner (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Benji, the Piercing Wind | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Patrik Weber (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Red Itärinne (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Carreira (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Florian Koksch (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Heilling (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Wilson (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Rashid-Sanaty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Emma Rumsey (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Lexi) - Expected: 63:37
Round 3: Win vs Alejandro López Lao (Kano) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre Grevet (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Sharpes (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
Round 3: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cowan (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Will Melyn (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Athena Vogel (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Matthias Fund (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Williams (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Mazeyrac (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Josh Keys (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Emad Kashy (Rhinar) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Kai Martin (Azalea) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Jean-Philip Lohse (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs James Flynn (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Dave Margetson (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Peter Bråss (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
90:10
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Thibaud ROMANI (Riptide) - Expected: 91:9
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Adrian Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Paul Hyman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Wilhelm Baars (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Adam Haigh (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Phil Mead (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Trubshaw (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
15:85
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs George Jones (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Jonas Larsen (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Edward Bayford (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Jaka Burnik (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Lovelace (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Zach Evans (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Torbert (Olympia) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Athena Vogel (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Macorano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Wassim Bouzazi (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Bastian Henneberg (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Ugo Troenli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Keys (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Lewis Pratt (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Mueller (Rhinar) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Mussy (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Kai "Käpt'n" Schmidt (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Jonas Larsen (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs None ()
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Adam Cartwright (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Alfie Thomasson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Tim Edwards (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Edward Catling (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Miller (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Sobral (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Declan Macewan (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Guillermo Regueiro (Dorinthea) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
30:70
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Siewko (Kano) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Gaumard (Nuu) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kano | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Oliver Kuhrt (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Alfie Thomasson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Ben Emmanuel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Marnie Lamb (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Goodchild (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Chalk (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Vynnset) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Marko Antonic (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Bates (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda Brightaxe | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jan-Philipp Dreikorn (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs David Hopkins (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Dimitrios Stergiou (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Louis Ades (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Rob van der Burgh (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.