Riptide at Showdown: London 2026

Riptide

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gary Kelly

68th • 5-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Brian Atchley (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Finlay McBay (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dan Tripp (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ryan McVean (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Owen Howdon (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thibaud ROMANI

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Robert Robinson (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Damien Bouché (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pierre-André Joly (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pietro Gerletti

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Jaka Burnik (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Heimbeck (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Karrandjas

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs None ()

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Björn Kaminski (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.