Florian at Showdown: London 2026

Florian

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Dreckmann

38th • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Ankeshian (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Laurens Overgaauw (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Emma Rumsey (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Julian Flury (Oldhim) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Davide Quaglio (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Paul Hyman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Denis Medjic

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mehmet Huseyin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Marc Bonnet (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Irvine (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Martin Holík (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.58
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daja Todesco

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Nichols (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jorgen Fleussu (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Adam Cowan

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan DUMONT (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Tanel Tammiste (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.