Showdown: London 2026 - Dash (SAGE)

Dash

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luca Cornaggia

dropped • 1-7-0

62%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nico Stangel (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Thore Ladicke (Kayo, Strong-arm) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

10:90

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Harmsen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 10:90

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kano) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Warren (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs None ()

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Haigh (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Krzysztof Nowek (Vynnset) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo, Strong-arm	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R4	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R5	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Jared Wyce

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Sommer (Iyslander) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Paul Goodchild (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Josh Keys (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Mazeyrac (Vynnset) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Shelby Ward

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kano) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.