Showdown: London 2026 - Nuu (SAGE)

Nuu

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Thomas Gaumard

44th • 6-3-0

44%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

5:95

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Jelle (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 6:94

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Patrik Weber (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

65:35

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Axel Gay (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joscha Amann (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jose Maria Mellado Becerra (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs René Schep (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs David Watt (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.29
R5	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.19
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.51
R8	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.59
R9	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cecil-Ember Phoenix

111th • 4-4-1

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Ward (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs Athena Vogel (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None ()

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kai Martin (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Patryk Wasielewski (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tom Lorente (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jean-Philip Lohse (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Spencer Baker (Oldhim) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Briar	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Adrian Lee

118th • 3-6-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cartwright (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

10:90

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Buntrock (Fai) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

10:90

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Malyk Höfle (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Wassim Bouzazi (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jean-Philip Lohse (Fai) - Expected: 12:88

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Finlay McBay (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Win	✗	0.88	0.69
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R5	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.