Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
18th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
30th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brody Lewis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
39th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
49th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hudson Graves (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Moret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
53rd • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
57th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Loren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Tavaglione (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elly Bird (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Saiewitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josef Mendez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brayden Varela (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chevanna Larson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Blake Freeman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chevanna Larson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Ward (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derek Chiu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brendan Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elly Bird (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Botts (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Spencer Fuhriman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ian Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Timothy cao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Slotnick ()
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Brozik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Rice (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Varela (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aydan Basher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Judd (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will Prater (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Madison Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Ward (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angel Moret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Iris Berney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Cavanagh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy cao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ezekiel Morrison (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Black ()
Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Purvis (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Riley Middleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josef Mendez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Manship (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Winther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hall (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy cao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Raul Sierra (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordyn Denver (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.