Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Seattle
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-2-0
50%
Meta
+4.3
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Brose (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
5th • 10-2-0
83%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brody Lewis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
19th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Buell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Scott Khuu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 12: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Botts (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Hudson Graves (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs augustine shim (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 7: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Harrop (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shayna Morrison-Boccadoro (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jayne Van Ness (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Van Stone (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Manship (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs francisco guerrero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis Spicer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brendan Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Snow (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angel Moret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Hembroff (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs Jayne Van Ness (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Win vs Carson Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Mark Brandon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Michael Stanko (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 74:26
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sam Rogers (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Win vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aydan Basher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Asa Burke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jack Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Iniguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ivan Joy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Blake Freeman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Morgan Bawcom-Randall (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Baughn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Riley Middleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Elly Bird (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.