Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Seattle
Dorinthea Ironsong
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Wood (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raul Quiroga (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
31st • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damian Winderlich (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 9: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taige Houk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Riley Middleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Winther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raul Sierra (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teriki Soliai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs jaystin teets (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Riley Middleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Fraser (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Smith (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Freeman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Loren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.