Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Seattle
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-2-0
67%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
6.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Eric Lerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Isaac Loren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Round 12: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Rawlings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Fuhriman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Buell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.