Prism, Awakener of Sol at Calling: Seattle
Prism, Awakener of Sol
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-2-0
58%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
15th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Morrison (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
25th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
29th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Swinford (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Vanderleek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Win vs Joe Ellis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bailey Kehret (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Parker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Blake Freeman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs William Cavanagh (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raul Sierra (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Winther (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dakota Cochran ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason O'Mara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-1
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs francisco guerrero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aydan Basher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brendan Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Stephenson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.