Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at Calling: Seattle

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Debrian Figueroa

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Vanderleek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Edmondo Mazzulli (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Snow (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.95
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jake Brose

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Brendan Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Aydan Basher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aaron Tavaglione

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Brook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.