Arakni, Marionette
33 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brody Lewis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
12th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarath Vega (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Round 11: Win vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
16th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.4
Surp
5.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jamin Welch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jayne Van Ness (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
21st • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Snow (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
43rd • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Adams ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jamin Welch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Harrop (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
45th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brayden Varela (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
47th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
48th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Soini (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
58th • 6-6-0
92%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Angel Moret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
61st • 5-6-1
92%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Draw |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
73%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Sundholm (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shayna Morrison-Boccadoro (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Mitchell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jake Brose (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Brook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Asa Burke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip Parker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy cao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Fuhriman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Baughn (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jared Mergener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Buell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Swinford (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DYLAN MANGINI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jaystin teets (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taige Houk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Brook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bailey Kehret (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Round 7: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Manship (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carson Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Saiewitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Loren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philip Parker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taige Houk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Winther (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Wood (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Debrian Figueroa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Iris Berney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taige Houk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Gannon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shayna Morrison-Boccadoro (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Albert Purvis (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Prater (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Iris Berney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Brozik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Tate (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Iniguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devin Sather ()
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hammond (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.