Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Seattle
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-1-0
83%
Meta
+4.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
20th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
26th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edison Yue (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
28th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Rice (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elena Arnold (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Joy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Albert Purvis (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elena Arnold (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamin Welch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Brandon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bailey Kehret (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Madison Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hammond (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Saiewitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brayden Varela (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.