Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Olsen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
10th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Chiu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jamin Welch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Harrop (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
32nd • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Hegquist (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
35th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hembroff (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Katrina Short (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Machi C (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
42nd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
44th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Karl Horvath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hudson Graves (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amanda Sullender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryu San jose (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Brook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
50th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs DJ Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None ()
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | 50% | Win | |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
55th • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Irby (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 10: Loss vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 11: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
56th • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Botts (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brayden Mitchell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Ivan Joy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Saiewitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Mendelsohn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs steven coker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 9: Loss vs Ian Becker (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Wood (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angel Moret (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 8: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Kennedy ()
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Liam Brozik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Botts (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jayne Van Ness (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Dana Martin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raj Giri (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Hegquist (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chevanna Larson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jamin Welch (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Neet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 7: Loss vs Brendan Schmidt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Loss vs Brody Lewis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Hembroff (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Freeman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Brandon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hall (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Woodland (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Harrop (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Swinford (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-1
83%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Liam Harrop (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Pham (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Gannon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Kennedy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Prater (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Micah Luff (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Winther (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shayna Morrison-Boccadoro (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Raul Quiroga (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs augustine shim (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Cameron (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Parker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Karl Horvath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Spencer Fuhriman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Gomez ()
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Debrian Figueroa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.