Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Calling: Seattle

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Beygelman

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.35
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.50
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jordyn Denver

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carson Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.56
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Albert Purvis

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.99
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.