Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Calling: Seattle

Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Noah Beygelman

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ning Liu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.32
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jordyn Denver

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carson Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Albert Purvis

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Campbell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.43
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.