Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Seattle
Puffin, Hightail
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
41st • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Tristan Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brett Bowden (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Sitton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Ellis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29
Round 4: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Hegquist (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Botts (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.