Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Jennings (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jayne Van Ness (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78
Round 5: Win vs Joel Vanderleek (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Timothy cao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shayna Morrison-Boccadoro (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Asa Burke (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Martin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raul Sierra (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick R (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derek Chiu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
Round 3: Win vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Avery Smith (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Soini (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Judd (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elly Bird (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Brook (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Santos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Stephenson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Holly Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Campbell (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Weinberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 21:79
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Buell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Snow (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jude Cornett (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Simon Wonser (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs augustine shim (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Robbins (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Harris (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jaystin teets (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ariel Struble (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.