Jarl Vetreiði
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Debrian Figueroa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Scott Khuu (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Broten (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nate Stratton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Connor Symons (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Timothy Wang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
34th • 8-3-1
17%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Elton Zhen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Ting-jui Hsu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Win vs David Bruner (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Nick Deschamps (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Adam Hamilton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Win vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
22nd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Iris Berney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Vore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Andy Hong (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs jordan johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
54th • 6-6-0
42%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
Round 5: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nick Tiller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fisher Johnson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Kreitzburg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Hegquist (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Avery Myles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Karl Horvath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Stephens (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyson Au (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Elliott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Spicer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Hegquist (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Judd (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.