FaB-Results
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cary Young
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Dash I/O
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Loren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
Fang, Dracai of Blades
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tabitha Stehman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hembroff (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 9:91
Dash I/O
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Sundholm (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Raul Sierra
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ezekiel Morrison (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs DJ Breithaupt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jaystin teets (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 29:71
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs augustine shim (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.