Arakni, Marionette
55 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-2-0
58%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.0
Surp
8.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 14: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R17 CC
Round 17: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R18 CC
Round 18: Win vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
8.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R16 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R17 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R18 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
26th • 7-2-0
67%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
30th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick McKenna (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Stuttgen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
51st • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
9th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
25th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Colter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 14: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
34th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Herren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 13: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Evan Bridges (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
56th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
76th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nathan lapham (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
90th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
14th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Neumaier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 85% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
15th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 13: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
35th • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emery Powell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Reese Toomre (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
59th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
61st • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
82nd • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ronit Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ryan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
93rd • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Hewett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arvin Bernardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Round 12: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Harper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 12: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
80%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Stuttgen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs George Mistkawi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Mountford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Morvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Milner (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Blackwell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Marklin Spencer (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Warburton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chester Stallings (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Lu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Sullivan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Neil Bautista (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ronit Patel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs J Ehlinger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs drew hewett (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs george flete (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Tiller (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Andrew Rothermel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 60% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Mistkawi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs May Hayden (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Pelka (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs DOUGLAS CHAGAS (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.