Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026 - Kayo, Underhanded Cheat (CC)

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Drew Bosco

dropped • 4-1-0

80%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.63
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jakub Kulpinski

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Ricca (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Matt Sullivan

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evan Herndon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tader Kammeyer

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick R (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.