Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.7
Surp
5.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 15: Win vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R16 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
38th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Round 13: Win vs Reese Toomre (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
47th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Cumming (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Loss vs Josh Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
48th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
102nd • 4-3-2
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Padlesky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Noah Beygelman (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Draw vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R15 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Brayer (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arvin Bernardo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reuben An (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ezra Menchen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs george flete (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tatsuya OKANISHI (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Mistkawi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Shaffer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Elizondo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victoria Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.