Betsy, Skin in the Game
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-3-0
73%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
5.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Long (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 14: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R16 CC
Round 16: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R17 CC
Round 17: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R16 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R17 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
80%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tre Baroncini (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Stuttgen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 14: Win vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R16 CC
Round 16: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R16 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
74th • 5-3-1
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Knecht (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Raymond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Reuben An (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 73:27
Round 5: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Dong (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.