Dorinthea Ironsong
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
106th • 3-6-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
20:80
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gui Cohen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs drew hewett (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Romar Richardson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elaine Cao (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Neumaier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Heilbronn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Minh Tran (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tre Baroncini (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Sullivan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zach Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.