Valda, Seismic Impact at Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
42nd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
37th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
Round 15: Win vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
95th • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs John Zapata (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
54th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Miller (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
72nd • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 90:10
Round 2: Win vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 12: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
108th • 3-6-0
22%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Manning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Harper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Mistkawi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs drew hewett (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs J Ehlinger (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Drew Bosco (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.