Arakni, Huntsman at Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
39th • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
31st • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Josh Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
32nd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Hannan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Lundeen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
Round 4: Loss vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
62nd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R15 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
52nd • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
Round 4: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Round 12: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
25:75
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R15 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshihiko Kato (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Phelipe da Hora (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-1-0
40%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randy Davis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-1
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Raymond (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Romar Richardson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs nathan lapham (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Warburton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 89:11
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan May (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Long (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs drew hewett (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Harper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.