Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
79th • 7-2-0
22%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
6.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Win vs John Cooper (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 15: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R15 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Teran Hancock (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Herren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Teran Hancock (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis Gunthner (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Kimball (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs george flete (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.