Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeff Morvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
24th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.3
Surp
5.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathan Youngblut (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R14 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
69th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Gomez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Franche Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
71st • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ANDREW WEBBER (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Romar Richardson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Luis Maderas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
36th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
Round 15: Win vs Jakob Allan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jared Au (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Cooper (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Minh Tran (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick McKenna (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 92:8
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 90% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Ricca (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Manning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Loss vs Tre Baroncini (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 88:12
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs drew hewett (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Knecht (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wilmer Aguilar Ramos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marcus Neumaier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henry Leasure (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Win vs Fabian Rex (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Evans (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Goodridge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hazama Levi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Buljan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.