Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-2-0
0%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Hewett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Colter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
dropped 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Baker (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dagan White (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 10:90
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Kassai of the Golden Sand
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jo Burch (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ocimar Couto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Jarl Vetreiði
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Dash I/O
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.