Kassai of the Golden Sand
37 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 8-1-0
56%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
7.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Lau (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gui Cohen (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
7.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R15 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
22nd • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs NIGEL LOUTZENHISER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Ng (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs William Pistel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
44th • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jr . (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Jansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Easton Douglas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
12th • 6-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robin Andrews (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Hammer (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
75:25
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R15 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
43rd • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 12: Loss vs Nova Chan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Rob Catton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R15 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
46th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.5
Surp
5.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 12: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
81st • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Hamilton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Wilmer Aguilar Ramos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Erik Stenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs kouji hamada (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R14 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R15 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
33rd • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Moore (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs William Pistel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R15 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
55th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs Wilmer Aguilar Ramos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
73rd • 4-5-0
78%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Montalbano (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs William Pistel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Reese Toomre (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R14 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
85th • 4-5-0
89%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Niels Kornerup (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Charlie Herren (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
Round 12: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 15: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R15 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
86th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kindreck Hegsted (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 13: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 14: Loss vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R15 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shane Cooper (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shane Cooper (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Win vs Jean-Louis Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Heilbronn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masayuki Hori (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lewis Foulkes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Ronco (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Montes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Oldes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier Elizondo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeff Morvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Derrick Azelton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Cumming (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Luke Putz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Winther (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Irby (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Edison Yue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Baptiste Schmittlin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Karan Gill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Reynolds (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wyatt Schmitt (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simon Murphy (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Cook (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Swartley (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs João Pereira (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Pistel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Cochran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick R (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Butera (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Danton Lima (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Cooper (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oren Yishai (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rikard Wallström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Bodo (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Hsu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Parker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxime Forest (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Giovanni Scuderi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Savinien Castel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Teran Hancock (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Manning (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Kruijsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Win vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 広朗 大澤 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Hauck (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Salmon (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dominique JABES (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeff Morvan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gary Gold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emery Powell (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.