Katsu, the Wanderer at Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
87th • 4-5-0
22%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Bridges (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Cooper (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kiran Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Emmanuel Barron (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R15 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jodey Burney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christian Vitanza (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nathan lapham (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick R (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Filipe L. Cardoso (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ezra Menchen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Laurens Van der Beek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.