Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

103rd 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
4.8
Surp
6.6
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Fiorendino (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rogelio Passafaro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Stowe (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Dash I/O
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Devon Killebrew (Dash I/O) - Expected: 23:77
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
dropped 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Jarl Vetreiði
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 74:26
Kassai of the Golden Sand
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Schelling (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.