Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant at Pro Tour: Las Vegas 2026
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
5.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Gonzalez Vilas (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs nathan lapham (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Natalie Birch (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R13
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
15:85
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matthew W (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
R15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Aaron Grace (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
| R15 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.