Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
33 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-3-0
23%
Meta
+4.5
Perf
7.3
Surp
5.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maddy Carlier (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
7.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
5th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Faron Swingler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
10th • 8-3-0
45%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John McCreanor (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs collin hee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Berry (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vincent Lim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Royals (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yifei Wang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs bill huynh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steven Young (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Abigail Evans (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
39th • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Postle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Remi Grasset (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffery Broad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodii Dias (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Billy Docherty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
41st • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Bingemann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ashwin Deen Masi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brendan Champion (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Owen Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Gauci (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Vickery (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Marr (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fazeel R (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dale O'Brien (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Igor Brkic (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Marr (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle Clifford (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeffery Broad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron Griffiin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Angove (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Pickett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs benji muehlebach (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jac Jac (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Curtis Davidson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 91:9
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aabhii Taneja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs jiasu chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Declan Carlsson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lachlan Maddaford (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faron Swingler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Lenihan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Win vs Tom Debney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Vinh Luong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bill Loizos (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Lewis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tallin Davis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Josh Coyle (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sam Davison (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Emily Smyth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Win vs Declan Bradley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Darge (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Salter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonas Ryen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damien Hutchins (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Scott Dunstan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Whang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fazeel R (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dev Gordon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene Beissel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Malek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Mark Webster (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexis Alexander (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ekam Khaira (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Emily Smyth (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Herzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Angus Lillie (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Amos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
Round 6: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
Round 1: Win vs Ashley Kalz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Vickery (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brad Forrester (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Ren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Collins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jay Haskett (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Glumac (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Rashad (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lachlan Maddaford (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mark Webster (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Liam Herzer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Liu (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Bill Loizos (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Khoo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Serge Balaam (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Watson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Eid (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taine Markley (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.