FaB-Results

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Sydney 2025

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Patrick Watt
20th • 7-4-0
82%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.8
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Clint Riley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Marr (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Piper (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lachlan Saunders (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Jalen Williams Max
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Jarl Vetreiði
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffery Broad (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 67:33
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fennir Pan (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.